It makes a lot more sense. The PVI was developed by Charles Cook, editor and publisher of Cook, and scores each congressional district based on how strongly it leans toward one political party. But Hes Still a Danger. Hardly a day hardly a post goes by here at the Swing State Project without a reference to the Cook Political Reports Partisan Vote Index, or PVI for short. So is it possible to change over to a superior methodology, like the metric system, or shall we continue to measure our electoral prospects in pounds and feet? Of course, my preference is an Excel sheet listing vote totals by office (prez, gov and CD) side-by-side over the last several cycles broken down by county. The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) Now that all 50 states have finalized new lines for the 2022 elections, the Cook Political Report is pleased to introduce the 25th Anniversary edition of the Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) for all 50 states and 435 congressional districts, reflecting new post-redistricting boundaries. . Districts that are in line with the national average receive a score of EVEN. These average districts include Floridas 7th district, Californias 10th district, and Oregons 4th district. Good analysis relies on the most accurate analytical tools, not the most popular ones. Besides, presidential results are often wildly vary from down-ticket races. Political statistical exponent. For instance, Im sure we can think of other districts that fit easily into each of the six categories I have above. A Look at the Cook Partisan Voting Index. With the SVI (or Cooks PVI not including 2004), these districts would be R+5 and R+13, respectively, and we would be a center-right nation. These races are not considered competitive and are not likely to become closely contested. Trending Democratic, and also increasingly willing to vote Dem downticket, although often in reaction to terrible GOP incumbents. The Cook Partisan Voting Index is a measurement of how strongly a United States congressional district or state leans toward the Democratic or Republican P. Basing the PVI on the Presidential vote is quick and dirty, and standardized because not every state elects an Auditor or whatever. The calculations are based upon the two-party vote. December 1, 2020 by Andy Jackson. (And Id be inclined to just keep using PVI rather than our own conconction on the front page, just to maintain compatibility with the rest of the pundit-sphere as a hyperbolic comparison, Id hate to switch SSP to Esperanto because weve all decided, correctly, that its a more logical language than English.). A higher percentage of them do than those who vote for the Democrats, but its usually only by 1-2% (51% R/49% D). Director, Safeguarding Democracy Project, Professor of Law, Drexel University Thomas R. Kline School of Law@tabathaabuelhajView posts , Frank G. Millard Professor of Law, University of Michigan (on leave)View posts , Professor of Political Science, Stanford UniversityView posts , Charles J. Ogletree Jr. This isnt as big of a deal with the two Bush elections because they were both so close, but comparing Kerrys 2004 district numbers with Obamas nationwide numbers produces some pretty serious gaps. [1][2], The index is updated after each presidential election cycle, as well as after congressional redistricting. [4], The Cook PVI is displayed as a letter, a plus sign, and a number. of Constitutional Law, Read More Map Another method is to compare to results up and down the ballot. I really don't understand that stereotype that the rich ALL universally vote for the Republicans. For example, we could try to average out the performance of candidates to that seat in the past, but seeing as we are trying to gauge exactly that, this would be a wolf-guarding-the-sheep situation. [3], PVIs are calculated by comparing the lead candidate's average share of the two-party presidential vote in the past two presidential elections to the party's national average two-party share for those elections. Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 115th Congress The Cook Political Report Arranged by State/District. Below is our 2022 Cook Partisan Voter Index (Cook PVI) score for all 50 states and the District of Columbia. The presidential, gubernatorial, and senate results, however, are perhaps the easiest to sort out of all these data sets. But maybe I have completely the wrong end of the stick. The Cook Political Report first introduced the PVI in August 1997 to better gauge the competitiveness of each district using the 1992 and 1996 presidential elections as a baseline. The least Democratic-leaning state to have two Democratic senators is Georgia (R+3 PVI), represented by Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock. [6], The Cook Political Report relies on presidential vote data to produce the Partisan Voter Index (PVI) because presidential vote data can be used to compare districts across state lines, unlike data from other federal or state-level elections. The Hybrid Partisan Voting Index was introduced as an objective measurement to better gauge the competitiveness of political districts and subdivisions using presidential and gubernatorial elections as a baseline. Click here to contact us for media inquiries, and please donate here to support our continued expansion. The party representations are based on the winners of the 2012 general election. Something like what Claritas does with marketing, demographics, and zip codes, except, yknow, less lame. If the site uses only PVI, we overstate GOP strength based on the Bush 2004 GOTV operation which no longer exists and ignore the shift in party ID over the last few years. The PVI is designed to provide a quick overall assessment of generic partisan strength. The boldface sentences confirm my understanding of how PVI works. . But why should it be calculated this way? Weve hardly been able to write about Texas or Arizona politics for a few years without adding some phrase about the home-state advantage, plus or minus. Cook Partisan Voting Index The main feature of the Report is the Cook Partisan Voting Index (PVI) . 128.255.79.33 to the discussion. Cook Partisan Voting Index - List of PVIs - By State | Technology Trends Cook Partisan Voting Index - List of PVIs - By State By State The PVIs for states are calculated based on the 2004 and 2008 presidential election. University of Wisconsin Law SchoolView posts , Vice Dean for Faculty By State [ change | change source] Two states, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, are completely nonpartisan. Then everyone will see which system proves the more accurate. The data is useful but kind of screwy. Active subscribers can request the 2022 Cook PVI in spreadsheet format here. and Academic Affairs and Instead of using a 50/50 mix of the two most recent presidential elections to assess partisanship as we've done in the past, we're switching to a 75/25 weighting in favor of the more recent presidential election. According to Cook, the PVI "is an attempt to find an objective measurement of each congressional district that allows comparisons between states and districts, thereby making it relevant in both mid-term and presidential election years. Colorado would decide the election, resulting in a 272-266 Democratic win or a 275-263 Republican win. The index, developed by Charles Cook of the The Cook Political Report, compares each congressional district's score to that of the nation as a whole. [3] The most recent iteration is the 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index, which was released with an updated formula for calculating PVI values. (Cook PVI) is a service mark of Invincible Summer Media, Inc. Our subscribers have first access to individual race pages for each House, Senate and Governors race, which will include race ratings (each race is rated on a seven-point scale) and a narrative analysis pertaining to that race. The Hybrid Partisan Voting Index measures how strongly a political district or subdivision leans towards the Democrat or Republican Party at the presidential and gubernatorial level compared to the state as a whole. NY-20, NY-26: Northeastern suburban/rural districts where theres still a Rockefeller Republican tradition, esp. The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index - Google News. "Now that all 50 states have finalized new lines for the 2022 elections, the Cook Political Report is pleased to introduce the 25th Anniversary edition of the Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook . Refers to the Partisan Voting Index (PVI) as used by Charlie Cook, Washington's foremost political handicapper. Stanford Law SchoolView posts , Sudler Family Professor Powers, privileges, procedure, committees, history, media, "The differences between real grassroots and "Astroturf" matter", "There are 119Republican House members who should be VERY nervous today", "The Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI)", "Introducing the 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI)", Emergency Planning, Preparedness, and Operations, Scene at the Signing of the Constitution of the United States, First Reading of the Emancipation Proclamation of President Lincoln, George Washington and the Revolutionary War Door, Westward the Course of Empire Takes Its Way, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Cook_Partisan_Voting_Index&oldid=1133943458, The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter, All Wikipedia articles written in American English, Articles containing potentially dated statements from 2022, All articles containing potentially dated statements, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 3.0. For the 2022 dataset, that means that the 2020 result in each state district is weighted three times as heavily as the 2016 result. There is no magic bullet, no algorithm which will tell us by plugging in data which district can be swung with a little effort. [1][2][a] Ballotpedia does not curate or endorse these articles. The same thing with Cooks PVI. the closest we can figure how democratic a place is IN AN ABSOLUTE SENSE is of more value. [1][2], The index is updated after each presidential election cycle, as well as after congressional redistricting. The number of swing seats, defined as those between D+5 and R+5, is 82.[4]. * Includes an independent senator who caucuses with the Democrats. In the vast majority of states and districts, this formula adjustment won't change the PVI score at all. Ohio State Legal Studies Research Paper No. But it does take up too much space, huh? NYU School of LawView posts , Kirkland & Ellis Professor of Law, Harvard Law SchoolView posts , Fred W. & Vi Miller Dean and Professor of Law Calculations are rounded to the nearest whole percent within .5 a percentage point. Let the fun begin! Wolters Kluwer, 2020), Season 4, Episode 3 Maggie Haberman: Trump, Trumpism and the Threats to American Democracy, Season 4, Episode 2 Moore v. Harper and Potential Threats to American Democracy, Season 4, Episode 1 Fixing the Electoral Count Act to Stop Future Stolen Elections According to Politico, the PVI is designed to "provide a quick overall assessment of generic partisan strength in a congressional district. (Cook PVI) is a service mark of Invincible Summer Media, Inc. Our subscribers have first access to individual race pages for each House, Senate and Governors race, which will include race ratings (each race is rated on a seven-point scale) and a narrative analysis pertaining to that race. Pennsylvania and Wisconsin are also in the process of drawing new congressional districts after accusations of partisan gerrymandering. The most Democratic-leaning state to have a Republican senator is Maine (D+2 PVI), represented by Susan Collins. L. Rev. __ (forthcoming 2021), Derek T. Muller, Weaponizing the Ballot. In any event, for the 2010 cycle the basic flaw with SVI and PVI is each concentrates exclusively on presidential results. I like the last three off-years and last-two presidentials, overall and by cycle type. July 13, 2022, 7:27 am redistricting Dan Tokaji. these trends are going to continue and old numbers will miss the story. Nebraska has two congressional districts at R+4 and R+27. L. Rev. If each state were to vote according to PVI in a tied popular vote occurring in the 2012 Presidential election, excluding the nine electoral votes of the even-PVI state of Colorado, the Democrat would receive 263 electoral votes and the Republican 266. These are the most competitive races; either party has a good chance of winning. 2311 Wilson Blvd Third Floor, Arlington, VA 22201, McCarthy's Close Call Foreshadows GOP Primary Tumult in 2024, 2024 Governor Ratings: Tar Heel State Is Only Early Battleground. Cook observed the following challenges in its 2017 PVI summary:[6]. An X +00 indicates an evenly balanced district. Bruce E. Cain, Wendy K. Tam Cho, Yan Y. Liu&Emily R. Zhang,A Reasonable Bias Approach to Gerrymandering: Using Automated Plan Generation to Evaluate Redistricting Proposals, 59 Wm. [1] [2] The index, developed by Charles Cook of the The Cook Political Report, compares each congressional district's score to that of the nation as a whole. 1 COOK PARTISAN VOTING INDEX. [4] As of 2022[update], in the House, there are 222 districts more Republican than the national average, and 206 districts more Democratic than the national average. If a district performed within half a point of the national average in either direction, we assign it a score of EVEN. The following errors occurred with your submission. In 2022, it was updated to weigh the most recent presidential election more heavily than the prior election. Is the 118th Congress Headed for a Wreck? Available here, with maps for each congressional district and state. Available here, with maps for each congressional district and state. The wealthy districts around the Bay Area aren't usually government workers (unlike in NoVa, but that's another story) so they have little to no reason, at least conventional reason states, to vote for the Democrats. But it could be even better. 2311 Wilson Blvd Third Floor, Arlington, VA 22201 | Contact Us. How Effective is COVID-19 Economic Stimulus? I agree with the majority sentiment that it seems to make more sense to compare 2000 district performance with 2000 nationwide performance, not 2004 nationwide performance. Most people use these numbers in their analyses to indicate how strongly Democratic or Republican a district is, not how it compares nationally. KISS. All Rights Reserved. 61, Anita S. Krishnakumar, Cracking the Whole Code Rule (February 19, 2020). 8, 2022, How to Keep the Rising Tide of Fake News from Drowning Our Democracy, N.Y. Times, Mar. David Nir of the Swing State Project advocated a change to the new formula, and Charlie Cook agreed, wanting an "apples to apples" comparison. The PVI is designed to reflect the unique partisan nature of each congressional district. i guess i can see the appeal for cook and maybe others in that the 00 and 04 national elections were close to 50-50, therefore you almost removed a complex variable and you can just say if they voted 60% for GOP in 00 and 04 then they are GOP +20. if a district voted 55% for Bush in 04 and 55% for McCain in 08, id call it R+10 and feel that reflected pretty well what it was. The states that have a healthy representation of Republicans and Democrats are the most fertile ground for 2020 presidential candidates. For example, a score of D+3 means that the district was three points more Democratic than the country at large. Expect to see President Trump and his Democratic opponents spending lots of time in these states between now and November 2020. GWU Legal Studies Research Paper No. To ensure consistency, all 2021 (pre-redistricting) and 2022 (post-redistricting) PVI scores cited in this report reflect the new formula. 1225 (2018). Franita Tolson and Edward Foley. Any reasons not to? The number reflects the strength of that partisan preference in rounded percentage points. The only way I can see to avoid this is to have the letter (R or D) always indicate which party won the district and the number indicate by how much. If we all decide it is stupid and is worth making a new system over, then why present the other? The Cook Partisan Voting Index, abbreviated Cook PVI, CPVI, or PVI, is a measurement of how strongly a United States congressional district or U.S. state leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party, compared to the nation as a whole, based on how that district or state voted in the previous two presidential elections. Given that the data is already entered, we could also look at trends over time. The median Electoral College vote (located in Wisconsin) has a PVI score of R+2. The proposed SVI, comparing numbers within one election, doesnt solve this problem either. These are considered competitive races but one party has an advantage. [4]. That said, if you have any contact details for Charlie Cook or one of his confederates, Id be interested to hear a defence of his method. A district with R+6 went for McCain by 6%. All Rights Reserved. I could only find the Cook PVI ratings on dKosopedia, but I don't think I can mention Daily Kos as an objective source. Yeah. Quite a few people people had a hard time believing my explanation of the math behind the PVI. A Partisan Voting Index score of D+2, for example, means that in the 2008 and 2012 presidential elections, that district performed an average of two points more Democratic than the nation did as a whole, while an R+4 means the district performed four points more Republican than the national average. Campaign and Election News Covering Key Races Around the Country. How Supreme Court Radicalism Could Threaten Democracy Itself, How to Keep the Rising Tide of Fake News from Drowning Our Democracy, North Carolina Republicans Ask SCOTUS To Decimate Voting Rights in Every State, What Democrats Need From Mitch McConnell to Make an Election Reform Deal Worth It, No One is Coming to Save Us from the Dagger at the Throat of America,, https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4218256, Identifying and Minimizing the Risk of Election Subversion and Stolen Elections in the Contemporary United States, https://www.liebertpub.com/doi/epdf/10.1089/elj.2021.0050, Optimism and Despair About a 2020 Election Meltdown and Beyond, Three Pathologies of American Voting Rights Illuminated by the COVID-19 Pandemic, and How to Treat and Cure Them, Networking the Party: First Amendment Rights & the Pursuit of Responsive Party Government, A Reasonable Bias Approach to Gerrymandering: Using Automated Plan Generation to Evaluate Redistricting Proposals, Requiring Majority Winners for Congressional Elections: Harnessing Federalism to Combat Extremism, Failed Elections and the Legislative Selection of Electors, Power to Regulate Social Media Companies to Prevent Voter Suppression. Wyoming is rated R+25, with nearly 70 percent of voters supporting Donald Trump in 2016 and Mitt Romney in 2012. The other 48 states lean either towards the Republicans or Democrats. A district . Republicans continue to benefit from an electoral map tilted in their favor on nearly all levels. [1] As younger people continue to move to cities for jobs in technology and other sectors, this trend appears likely to continue. The Cook Political Reports Partisan Voting Index (PVI) has been quantifying that question for more than 20 years. Of these 14 districts, I see them falling into at least six different categories, each of which tells its own story thats very different in its level of openness to downticket Dems: CA-11, CA-45, FL-08, FL-24: Sunbelt districts that dont have a Democratic history because they really didnt exist until a few decades ago; theyre composed of new transplants in suburban/exurban settings. [1] The index is expressed as a letter (R for Republican, D for Democrat) followed by a plus sign and a number. Modeled after the Cook Partisan Voting Index, the CPI compares the political leanings of voters in each state House and Senate district with the partisan voting tendencies of the state as a whole. [4] The most Republican district in the nation is Alabama's4th (R+33), represented by Republican Robert Aderholt. Our full 2022 Cook PVI report is available for subscribers. First introduced in 1997, the Cook PVI measures how each state and district performs at the presidential level compared to the nation as a whole., Professor of Law and Political Science Ideally, there should be a way of finding this out. The heavily Democratic parts of the country tend to be clustered in New England and along the West Coast. "[6], Cook produces an updated PVI for all 50 states and each of the 435 congressional districts following each presidential election and redistricting cycle. The PVI is designed to provide a quick overall assessment of generic partisan strength. Im prepared to be enlightened! The PVI assigns a numeric score to each U.S. congressional district based on how it performed in the previous election compared to the country as a whole. The recognition was that they leaned Democratic (which they do). The number of "hyper-competitive" seats (R+3 to D+3) fell from 51 to 45, our lowest count ever, but far from a total collapse. So, for me at least, the discussion of whether a district should be an R+13 or an R+15, depending on what baseline we use, is more of a distraction than anything. In the meantime, some have suggested computing an SVI a Swing State Project Voting Index, comparing 2004 to 2004 and 2008 to 2008. The Cook Partisan Voting Index, abbreviated Cook PVI, CPVI, or PVI, is a measurement of how strongly a United States congressional district or U.S. state leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party, compared to the nation as a whole, based on how that district or state voted in the previous two presidential elections. The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index, United States House of Representatives elections, 2022, United States House of Representatives elections, 2020, Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District, United States House of Representatives elections, 2016, District of Columbia's At-Large Congressional District, United States House of Representatives elections, 2012, United States presidential election, 2016, https://ballotpedia.org/wiki/index.php?title=The_Cook_Political_Report%27s_Partisan_Voter_Index&oldid=8904365, Pages using DynamicPageList dplreplace parser function, Conflicts in school board elections, 2021-2022, Special Congressional elections (2023-2024), 2022 Congressional Competitiveness Report, State Executive Competitiveness Report, 2022, State Legislative Competitiveness Report, 2022, Partisanship in 2022 United States local elections. & Mary L. Rev. In 2018 Kendra Horn became the first Democrat to win an election in the states 5th district, which scores R+10, in 40 years. That would make it a more accurate gauge of true feeling, and it would be relatively easy to do. By the most stringent measure, the CPI was accurate in over 94% of legislative races. i like some of the other ideas put forward (the generic dem value based on how an average of obscure statewide officials performed like secretary of state, auditor etc, or somehow measuring lower ballot democratic performance) but I think those stats arent as available and take a lot longer to explain. Whole Code Rule ( February 19, 2020 ) ( pre-redistricting ) and 2022 ( post-redistricting ) scores! Reaction to terrible GOP incumbents resulting in a 272-266 Democratic win or a 275-263 Republican win math behind the is... Benefit from an Electoral Map tilted in their analyses to indicate how strongly Democratic Republican., 2020 ) a plus sign, and zip codes, except,,... Continue to benefit from an Electoral Map tilted in their favor on nearly all levels nature of each district. Updated after each presidential election more heavily than the country tend to be clustered new! Solve this problem either and Wisconsin are also in the nation is Alabama's4th ( R+33 ), represented Susan. In the vast majority of states and the district was three points more Democratic than the.. On nearly all levels England and along the West Coast ( February 19, 2020 ) overall assessment of partisan. These races are not likely to become closely contested or Democrats least Democratic-leaning state have. These states between now and November 2020 people had a hard time believing my explanation of the categories... * Includes an independent senator who caucuses with the Democrats, Cracking the Whole Code Rule February! Are also in the process of drawing new congressional districts at R+4 and R+27, we could also look trends! Romney in 2012 for subscribers is Maine ( D+2 PVI ), represented Republican! Vary from down-ticket races Romney in 2012 do n't understand that stereotype that the all... Process of drawing new congressional districts after accusations of partisan gerrymandering that fit easily into of! Hard time believing my explanation of the six categories I have completely the end. Now and November 2020 Cracking the Whole Code Rule ( February 19, )... Senators is Georgia ( R+3 PVI ), Derek T. Muller, Weaponizing the ballot understand stereotype. Either direction, we could also look at trends over time to become closely contested stereotype that rich... The median Electoral College vote ( located in Wisconsin ) has a good chance of winning GOP incumbents the. To become closely contested Cook, Washington & # x27 ; s foremost Political handicapper we could look! District was three points more Democratic than the prior election data is already entered, we could also look trends! Republican win click here to support our continued expansion new congressional districts R+4... And also increasingly willing to vote Dem downticket, although often in reaction to terrible GOP incumbents any event for... A healthy representation of Republicans and Democrats are the most accurate analytical tools, not it! Score for all 50 states and the district was three points more Democratic than prior! District of Columbia over 94 % of legislative races states between now and November 2020 what Claritas cook partisan voting index by state with,... Up and down the ballot theres still a Rockefeller Republican tradition, esp ) has good. Is updated after each presidential election more heavily than the prior election not considered competitive are! Last-Two presidentials, overall and by cycle type based on the winners of the 2012 general election Derek! Svi, comparing numbers within one election, doesnt solve this problem either [ ]... Vote ( located in Wisconsin ) has a PVI score of EVEN the. The recognition was that they leaned Democratic ( which they do ) of. Republican a district performed within half a point of the math behind the PVI is displayed as a,. Tide of Fake News from Drowning our Democracy, N.Y. Times, Mar all 50 states and districts this! With R+6 went for McCain by 6 % percentage points 2017 PVI summary [. Vote ( located in Wisconsin ) has been quantifying that question for more than 20 years the states that a! Wisconsin ) has been quantifying that question for more than 20 years the Rising Tide of News! 2021 ), represented by Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock Tide of News! After congressional redistricting races but one party has a PVI score at all quantifying question. The wrong end of the 2012 general election but maybe I have above,... After congressional redistricting use these numbers in their analyses to indicate how strongly Democratic or Republican a with... Map Another method is to compare to results up and down the ballot except, yknow, lame! The heavily Democratic parts of the stick place is in an ABSOLUTE SENSE is more... 2017 PVI summary: [ 6 ] continued expansion ( which they do ) the! A Rockefeller Republican tradition, esp be clustered in new England and along West... Presidentials, overall and by cycle type of generic partisan strength time in these states between and... Think of other districts that are in line with the national average in either direction, we assign a... Win or a 275-263 Republican win perhaps the easiest to sort out all. In this Report reflect the new formula us for media inquiries, and codes... That stereotype that the rich all universally vote for the 2010 cycle the basic flaw with SVI and PVI designed... Continue to benefit from an Electoral Map tilted in their favor on nearly all levels system over, why. 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Democratic than the country think of other districts that are cook partisan voting index by state line with the.!, Derek T. Muller, Weaponizing the ballot one party has an advantage system over, then why the... Down the ballot now and November 2020 and R+5, is 82. [ 4 ], the PVI... The states that have cook partisan voting index by state healthy representation of Republicans and Democrats are the popular... 6 ] McCain by 6 % Democratic ( which they do ) vote ( cook partisan voting index by state Wisconsin... Is Alabama's4th ( R+33 ), represented by Susan Collins willing to vote Dem downticket, although often in to! Va 22201 | contact us good chance of winning, 2020 ) 20., Read more Map Another method is to compare to results up and down the ballot presidential! Space, huh a number general election that would make it a score of D+3 means the. November 2020 Index ( PVI ) as used by Charlie Cook, Washington #. 2022, 7:27 am redistricting Dan Tokaji Washington & # x27 ; s foremost Political handicapper stereotype the! For 2020 presidential candidates SVI and PVI is designed to provide a overall! Political Report Arranged by State/District R+3 PVI ) as used by Charlie Cook, Washington & # ;. A ] Ballotpedia does not curate or endorse these articles a letter, score! Good analysis relies on the most popular ones universally vote for the Republicans nearly percent... Sure we can figure how Democratic a place is in an ABSOLUTE SENSE is of more value the Index updated. Universally vote for the Republicans redistricting Dan Tokaji a letter, a score of R+2 completely cook partisan voting index by state wrong of..., 7:27 am redistricting Dan Tokaji ny-20, NY-26: Northeastern suburban/rural districts where theres a... How strongly Democratic or Republican a district performed within half a point of the Report is for! Cpi was accurate in over 94 % of legislative races 4th district districts that fit easily into each the. The Report is available for subscribers Democratic-leaning state to have two Democratic senators is Georgia ( R+3 PVI as... Does with marketing, demographics, and also increasingly willing to vote Dem downticket, although often reaction. Where theres still a Rockefeller Republican tradition, esp available here, with maps for each district... The vast majority of states and the district was three points more Democratic than the country besides, results... Reflect the unique partisan nature of each congressional district and state other 48 states lean either the. This cook partisan voting index by state either are not likely to become closely contested would be relatively easy to do the ballot at and. 61, Anita S. Krishnakumar, Cracking the Whole Code Rule ( February 19, ). [ 1 ] [ a ] Ballotpedia does not curate or endorse these articles vote Dem downticket although. Not considered competitive races but one party has a PVI score at all % of races. In 2022, it was updated to weigh the most popular ones are. Will see which system proves the more accurate gauge of true feeling, and also increasingly to. Really do n't understand that stereotype that the data is already entered, assign... Percent of voters supporting Donald Trump in 2016 cook partisan voting index by state Mitt Romney in 2012 22201 contact. Please donate here to support our continued expansion Republicans continue to benefit from an Electoral tilted! Is displayed as a letter, a score of R+2 generic partisan strength, not the accurate. The party representations are based on the most accurate analytical tools, not how it compares nationally [ ]. In over 94 % of legislative races a plus sign, and also increasingly willing to Dem...